How many leads do you really need to reach your target, and how much are you willing to invest to get there?

Let’s say you want to increase your business revenue by $2 million this year. To reach this goal you know you need more sales, which means more leads, which means more (or better) advertising to reach potential buyers. 

But how many leads do you really need to hit that target? And how much do you need to invest in your advertising to get there? 

To find the answers you seek, you just need to do a little math. There are three questions that need to be considered: 

  1. What is the average lifetime value of a customer?
  2. How many leads are needed to convert a sale - what is your average lead conversion rate? 
  3. What is the most you are willing to pay for each lead, based on this data? 

Let’s dive into these questions to help you figure out the math behind your marketing plan and calculate the ad spend needed to reach your goals.

1. What is the average lifetime value of your customers?

An essential figure to know when determining your marketing budget is the average lifetime value of your customers. 

This goes beyond just your average sale value to look at the bigger picture of how much a customer is expected to spend with your business over the course of their relationship with you. It takes into account how much this average customer spends, and how many times, to calculate the long-term value to your business. . 

“Knowing the average lifetime value can make a huge difference to what a profitable cost per lead looks like, but is often overlooked.”

Josh Sexton, Digital Performance Director, Sprocket Digital 

You may find that an average sale is only $200-500, but in the long run returning customers could spend $2000-3000 if they’ve had a positive experience with your business, and have a reason to keep coming back.

To calculate your average customer lifetime value, there are two parts to the equation:

Part One: Your Average Customer Value

  1. Work out your average purchase value: Divide your company’s total revenue over the last 12 months by the number of purchases over the same period
  2. Work out your average purchase frequency: Divide the number of purchases by the number of unique customers who made purchases within the last 12 months
  3. Multiply your average purchase value by your average purchase frequency to get your average customer value

Part Two: Your Average Customer Lifetime Value

  1. Work out your average customer lifespan: What is the average number of years that a customer continues to purchase from you? 
  2. Multiply this by your average customer value (from part one), to get your average customer lifetime value. 

This gives you the total amount that you can expect to earn from an average customer over their lifetime with you. 

Now you know how much a customer is worth to your business, how much do you need to spend to acquire them?

2. What is your average lead conversion rate?

It’s easy to skim the top line of your data and say “Great, if our average sale value is $2000, we only need to make 1000 sales this year to hit our target”. But how many leads do you need to make that many sales? 

It’s unlikely that you’ll close 100% of your leads - some will lose interest, some will go to a competitor, and some will take months or years to convert. You need to work out what your lead conversion rate is, so you know how many leads you need to acquire to reach your sales goals. 

How many leads did your business generate in the last month, and how many sales did you close? What about the month before? Gather as much recent data as you can for all channels - email leads, calls to sales reps, and social media enquiries.  

Now divide the number of sales per month by the number of leads per month, and multiply that by 100 to get your conversion percentage. 

For example, last month you might have brought in 150 leads through Facebook and Google advertising. Your sales team managed to close 32 of those leads, turning them into sales. Therefore, your lead conversion rate would be 21% (32 divided by 50 equals 0.21, multiplied by 100 equals 21%). 

How many leads do you need to reach your sales goal? 

Now you understand how many of your leads convert into sales, you can work out how many more leads you need to reach your bigger sales goal. Simply divide the number of sales you need to generate by your conversion rate, and you’ll have the number of leads that are required to reach it. 

For example, if you’re aiming for 50 sales next month, you’d need 238 leads (50 divided by 0.21 equals 238).

3. How Much Are You Willing To Pay Per Lead?

“If I had an unlimited magic mystery bag of (relevant) leads in front of me, and I could pull them out one by one and sell them to you, what is the most you would be willing to pay me for each one?”

Josh Sexton, Digital Performance Director, Sprocket Digital

How much is every phone call, every email enquiry, and every form submission worth to you, now you know the potential lifetime value of every customer and how many leads you need to acquire that one valuable customer? 

Finally, you can create an accurate marketing budget based on the goals you want to reach, and what it will truly take to get there. 

Of course, there is a way to reduce your cost per lead and cost per acquisition, while maximising the efficiency of your budget, and that’s through conversion rate optimisation. 

Conversion rate optimisation can take place on both a technical level and a creative level - everything from the words in your call to action to the placement of a button on your landing page can make a difference to your conversion rate.

“Conversion rates should always be looked at as part of the wider strategy, as it will lead to increased efficiency when the budget scales over time. This will have a compounding effect on the total ROI generated as the business grows.” 

Josh Sexton, Digital Performance Director, Sprocket Digital
  • At Sprocket Digital, we’re experienced at guiding our clients through this process to help them scale their business sustainably and efficiently, while getting them the valuable leads they need.

Are you ready to grow your business? Call the team at Sprocket today for expert digital marketing support.

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    Super pro-active group of professionals. Our sales have doubled in a matter of weeks and looking forward to working with Ronnie, Dan and the team for the for-seeable future.
    Dylan Lewis
    We have worked with Sprocket since 2017 with two businesses and their service has always been exceptional. Both businesses experienced high growth due to the help from the Sprocket team. Josh has a vast knowledge, has been unbelievably helpful and even helped us out on a few occasions out of office hours. Can't thank him enough. Highly recommend Sprocket for any ecommerce businesses looking to increase their growth.
    Ketaki Rasmussen
    Sprocket has experts who can take your digital marketing to the next level, and you get personalised service with a dedicated account manager to help you achieve growth. Great to deal with.
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    Good people with excerlent skills, lead generation and communication. Thanks Team. Their performance dashboard is also awesome 👌
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    Absolute weapons! I called these guys up and advised our quality and quantity of leads were poor. I was introduced to Ethan who has gone above and beyond for us and the results are brilliant. This is a team who will care for your business like their own. Upwards and onwards!
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    Covid lockdowns meant complete operational shut down for our small NZ owned business. However, in the last few months we have finally got back up and running again with the help from Josh and his Sprocket team.Their understanding, resources and communication has been unwavering in this process and we have seen measurable results month on month. Trust plays a big role in digital marketing and I believe their formula is full proof.Sprocket has had a big role to play in getting our small business back on it's feet. I couldn't recommend this company enough!
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    Great team to work with, we've experienced growth from day 1 and we're still going! Thank you team Sprocket Digital
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    Sprocket have been great to deal with from the start and have brought in great results. Highly recommended :)
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    We have worked with a couple of other agencies that did not deliver and I'm impressed with the level of service, support & results we get from Sprocket. Within a few weeks of working with Sprocket, we can see immediate improvement on our sales. Harry and the team has taken the time to understand our business and continue to work on delivering results. We look forward to continue working with Sprocket to grow our business. If you are looking for a result-focused agency, you can't go wrong with Sprocket!
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    Harry and the team at Sprocket have done an amazing job for our start up company. It's been an absolute pleasure having them onboard, pushing our sales and helping make our business what it is today, this has only taken one month. Looking forward to many years to come.Thanks team
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